2/10/2016

Notations From the Grid: On #Syria

The Reality of Syria Today As Depicted by The Econmist KAL 

As our team is on the "Prowl" on Syria and the latest (especially as we saw a report on Al-Monitor about speculation on Turkey invading Syria), we could not help but share the latest depiction of the tragedy in Syria that underscores how tough it all is.    This is as the Guardian just reported that 11.5% of the people have either been killed or injured--that's not including those who are refugees:

Notations On the World: On The Aftermath of #NewHampshire (Cont'd)

Our team has been in receipt of outreach from all the top tier candidates today.    We have also been assessing the aftermath and thought that this interesting snapshot from the Fortune's Allan Murray was worth noting.   As we went to press, Carly Fiorina has dropped out and there are hints that Chris Christie will do the same.

The candidate field is s starting to "whittle down", but the campaign will continue onward and it will not be over for a while yet.    South Carolina will be another battle ground to see who will be left standing.  

   



  
February 10, 2016
Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump trounced the opposition in New Hampshire. Trump won twice the votes of John Kasich, his nearest opponent; Sanders beat Hillary Clinton by more than 20 percentage points.

Here are six takeaways from the nation's first primary:

Trump and Sanders are the front runners, and could well win their parties' nominations. Trump just has to keep doing what he's been doing; Sanders has to show he can win black votes. Expect him to spend a lot of time with black people in the coming days.

Rumors of Jeb Bush's demise were premature. "Establishment" Republicans - Kasich + Bush + Rubio + Christie + Fiorina - won half the vote in New Hampshire. Kasich was the surprise leader of the group, but Bush has the resources to prevail, and by beating Rubio, he kept himself alive. Expect him to keep handing out toy tortoises.

A different Hillary will emerge from this primary race - one who is far less moderate and far more committed to economic and social justice than before. This is not just campaign posturing; elections have real consequences.

Michael Bloomberg is preparing his independent campaign. Big wins by Sanders and Trump were all the encouragement he needs. He may wait to see if South Carolina changes the race's momentum, but he can't/won't wait long. The odds are still against an independent candidacy, but a Trump-Sanders race would create the best opportunity since Teddy Roosevelt.

The Pacific trade deal is in deep trouble. Opposing it is the one thing Trump and Sanders agree on, and neither party can be quick to reject that message. Even a post-election lame duck effort would risk inciting voters' wrath.

Wall Street and Big Pharma are in trouble. The populist uprising won't quickly subside. Hillary Clinton's rousing concession speech showed they will be top targets.

If a Republican wins the White House, he should make Chris Christie attorney general. Christie's takedown of Marco Rubio in Saturday's debate, which destroyed the Rubio candidacy, was worthy of Perry Mason.




Notations On Our World (Special Edition): On the World Humanitarian Summitt

We here in the Visions Channel noted that the UN Secretary General would be on the air today to present this report.    We wanted to share this as a special here for all to be aware and to review:

Download the UNSG's report on the WHS

We are happy to announce that the report of the United Nations' Secretary-General for the World Humanitarian Summit is available!
 

The Secretary-General officially launched the report on Tuesday, 9th February 2016 at 11 AM in New York.  

With the title ‘One Humanity: Shared responsibility’, the Secretary-General called on world leaders and on all concerned citizens to renew our commitment to humanity and inspire the global leadership and unity needed to prevent and end suffering.

In his report, the Secretary-General asks all stakeholders to accept and act upon 5 core responsibilities to deliver for humanity. Putting forward an 'Agenda for Humanity', he outlined the key actions and strategic shifts necessary to deliver on them.

To view the launch online, click on: webtv.un.org/! 


 
Download the SG report

2/09/2016

Notations On Our World: On the Aftermath of #NewHampshirePrimary

The numbers are in for New Hampshire.   Donald Trump has won New Hampshire.  John Kasich has come in second.     What is critical to underscore is that ultimately it is about Delegate Count.   Money and Organization will be pivotal.   As Marco Rubio came in 4th, he noted this:





John Kasich came in second and sent out this appeal to capitalize on his showing:

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Our strong finish in New Hampshire proved that Americans want to see a positive campaign that's focused on solutions and bringing people together.
We're all Americans and our brightest days are ahead.
Our campaign has just begun and we have a long way to go on the pathway to the nomination - help us make it happen. 

Onward to victory,
John Kasich
Governor of Ohio & Presidential Candidate
JohnKasich.com


Ted Cruz came in third and will be hitting the ground running--as the fight for the conservative vote is at hand as Donald Trump will have an interesting fight on his hands.      On the Democratic Side, Bernie Sanders ran away with it as he got 60% of the vote as he begins the day after with a meeting with the Rev. Al Sharpton in New York City on Wednesday.   Some are noting that South Carolina may well be Jeb Bush's last stand.     We are also seeing reports that Chris Christie will be reassessing his campaign and our team's assessment is he will be withdrawing.   IT

It will be an interesting few months......






Notations On Our World: On #Americas Watch regarding #SCOTUS & #Congress (Some Late Breaking Developments)


The high court’s move is a blow to the Obama administration and a victory for the coalition of 27 mostly Republican-led states and industry opponents.

As the voting in New Hampshire is winding down, it has also been quite a day on the Political Front in Washington.   Congress came out and said that it would not be considering President Obama's Budget Proposal.     The Heritage's Daily Signal featured the justification for this decision:

What Obama got wrong in his 2017 budget. President Barack Obama released his 2017 fiscal year budget to Congress. Here is what Heritage Foundation researchers had to say about the president's budget.
Here's why GOP chairmen decided to snub Obama's budget chief. The Daily Signal's Leah Jessen reports why the Senate and House budget chairmen won't be calling White House Budget Director Shaun Donovan to testify about Obama's spending plan.
From the research we have done, apparently this has been the first time in 41 years that Congress has snubbed a President's Budget Director.

Beyond this, there is a late breaking Development that the United States Supreme Court has blocked President Obama's Climate Action Plan in response to a lawsuit by 27 States.     Some have noted this to be a "War On Coal".  Our team's view is that it is a war worth fighting.    What we also found especially interesting was how as the US Media was busy with New Hampshire, it was interesting how these stories broke.

We will be assessing both of these over the ensuing days and weeks.   As we also went to press, we are seeing reports of  Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders leading.   The Guardian of London is reporting this live that is available by clicking here.       We will be assessing the "day after" once the results have been finalized.

Notations From the Grid: On #Iran Right now

Our team recently ran across this that has a good depiction of the key players in the ruling establishment within Iran as struggles are on-going as a prelude to the elections. It was quite a development as we saw reporting that a speech by President Rouhani was cut off by the State Broadcaster--our team found it especially poignant that the current Speaker of the Parliament was noted as one of the moderates: 

Notations From the Grid: On A Challenging World Today.....

It has been another challenging morning in our World as markets continue to be shaken by worries about Banks, Syria continues to burn and as the Congress of the United States noted that President Obama's Budget will not even get a hearing--and the OMB Director will not be invited to testify.   

Deutsche Bank CEO had to write a public letter underscoring the strength of the bank and the German Finance Minister gave an interview to say he was not worried--even though share prices have fallen by almost 50 percent--Here is the letter we ran across that was published on Google Finance earlier--Total value wiped off the five major European Banks has been upward of $ 45 Billion as markets saw another sell off: 


Deutsche Bank
Dear Colleagues,
When I first became your colleague and Co-CEO seven months ago, I promised to increase communication from the Management Board to you. I made clear that when we had something to communicate, I wanted you to hear about it first from us. That is why I am writing to you today.
Last week, at one of our scheduled off-sites, the Management Board talked about progress on our strategy, and how recent market volatility and forecasts for slowing economic growth might impact our clients and us. Volatility in the fourth quarter impacted the earnings of most major banks, especially those in Europe, and clients may ask you about how the market-wide volatility is impacting Deutsche Bank.
You can tell them that Deutsche Bank remains absolutely rock-solid, given our strong capital and risk position. On Monday, we took advantage of this strength to reassure the market of our capacity and commitment to pay coupons to investors who hold our Additional Tier 1 capital. This type of instrument has been the subject of recent market concern.
The market also expressed some concern about the adequacy of our legal provisions but I don’t share that concern. We will almost certainly have to add to our legal provisions this year but this is already accounted for in our financial plan.
The Management Board also discussed its vision for the bank. For us, a vision defines our aspiration for the bank, and what we want it to be. It’s important because it creates clarity of purpose and unites all of us in achieving common and worthy goals.
Our vision is to be a trusted and successful bank. We aim to deliver financial solutions, technology, products and services that exceed our clients’ expectations. We want to be the most respected financial services provider across all customer segments in Germany, our vital and strong home market; the number one bank for our corporate, institutional and fiduciary clients in Europe; and the best foreign bank in the United States and Asia.
We are achieving our vision in a number of ways, including:
First, we are investing in hiring more people in Equity Sales and Research to serve our clients’ needs and to regain our leadership in the equities markets.
Second, we are investing in bringing on board some talented senior bankers into Corporate & Investment Banking.
Third, we are investing in client-facing technology, particularly in our retail banking and asset management businesses.
Finally, I am personally investing time to resolve successfully and speedily open regulatory and legal cases. I want to remove the uncertainty among staff and in the market that these cases cause. A small group of senior people, led by me, will focus on this. For everyone else, we ask you to continue to focus on our clients and on the implementation of our strategy.
In the weeks ahead, my colleagues on the Management Board will update you on a number of topics, including customer focus, the work we’re doing on costs, and our priorities for developing employees. We want to make transparent where we are in our strategic efforts. This will add to accountability and help track progress.
We want to hear from you too. What are clients telling you? How do you think we should build a better Deutsche Bank? As ever, please contact me directly via the feedback tool on our intranet.
On behalf of the entire Management Board, thank you for your ongoing hard work. Let’s all work together to support this vision.
Yours sincerely,
John Cryan