6/22/2014

View of the Week: On the Economy On the Eve of Summer 2014

"Green Shots" are continuing to appear around the Economy.   In Orange County, California, the unemployment rate has dropped below 5 percent and help wanted signs seem to be springing up everywhere.   However, the growth seems to uneven at best.   This is as the IMF has cut US Growth Forecasts and the Fed itself has cut its' forecast for the US Economy even though the latest FOMC statement reflects a broad strength.  What has been a bit tragic has been how the US has led the world in the creation of low paying jobs according to reports from the Organization for Economic Cooperation & Development that had some major suggestions for the United States to strengthen development.    

Edward Jones Investment Strategiest Kate Warne shared her insights that underscores what is before us as begin the second half of the year: 

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Strong May Job Growth: More Support for Rising StocksThe economy added 217,000 jobs in May, in line with expectations for an increase of 215,000 according to Bloomberg. May was the fourth month in a row with job gains above 200,000 - it's the first time that's happened since January 2000. And over the past four years, the economy has gained 8.8 million jobs, finally recovering all those lost during the Great Recession. After a sharp drop in April, May's unemployment rate was unchanged at 6.3%, near a six-year low. 
Economy Improves after Harsh WinterThe strong job gains in April and May added one more sign that the economy is strengthening, after skidding during the winter's snow and cold. Consumer confidence is at its highest level since 2008, and as consumers feel more comfortable, they've been spending more. Auto sales are at their highest levels since 2007. We expect the economy to grow about 2.5% in 2014, accelerating slightly from its pace over the past five years of recovery. And companies have continued to indicate business is improving, putting them on track for another year of record earnings. 
Stocks Reach New Highs Stock market volatility has remained low this year, and without fanfare, the stock market has made its way higher. The S&P 500 has reached record highs in eight of the past 10 days, for a total of 18 highs this year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has reached eight new highs in 2014. In our view, improving economic growth, rising earnings and better investor confidence can provide support for stocks to rise further. 
Set Realistic Expectations Low volatility, rising stocks and an improving economy have created a favorable environment for investors. Consider adding stocks, if appropriate, but make sure your expectations remain realistic. Since everyone knows market conditions can change, sometimes quickly, stay prepared for market ups and downs. That's one reason we think it's important to review your financial situation regularly. A diversified investment portfolio, with a mix of stocks and bonds tailored for your situation and long-term financial goals, can help you benefit from rising stocks and stay invested during the inevitable pullbacks as well.

6/21/2014

Summer is Here!!! :-)


June 21 was the longest day as Summer began--and it was a beautiful day here in Southern California.   This was a beautiful sentiment courtesy of the folks @ No Labels--a valiant effort by a number of leading politicos in the US to change the political narrative.  

  May the new season be a beautiful one for all.  

V-Thought 4 the Week: On Hard Choices

As the Situation in Iraq continues to go from bad to worst, this curated series from http://ted.com  was "kind of" timely in that it gives a roadmap about how to make tough choices--potential lessons to be learnt by all: 

PLAYLIST OF THE WEEK

7 TED Talks on how we make choices

Inspired by the talk above? Keep exploring, with the selected talks in this playlist. Explore why some choices are so hard to make -- and learn how we can choose to make better ones. (Or are we in control of our own choices at all?) Watch »
Total run time 2:16:47

View of the Week: Reflections on the Middle East

This week has seen the final nail in the coffin of Iraq as we've known it since the end of World War I. The headlines around the World have been dominated with how ISIS has been ever so successful--and continues to be so right now based on all that has been happening on the ground.   Iraq, though, is part of the tragedy that continues to evolve in the Middle East as Syria continues to burn and Israelis and Palestinians are at each others' throats as Israel continues its' hunt for the young kids who were kidnapped on their way home--a profound tragedy for those children and their families.   

This month, though, also saw one very hopeful sign: The joint appearance by Mahmoud Abbas & Shimon Peres with Pope Francis at the Vatican at a Prayer for Peace.   


In assessing some of the deliberations in the US Public Affairs Shows,  what did not get "much traction" in the Worldwide mainstream press that was so much the cheerleader for the Second Iraq War is the views of those who actually get That part of the World. One of them is Vijay Prasad of the University of Beirut who had some compelling things to note in his recent commentary on the Real News Network:
More at The Real News
 


 The hard truths noted is ever so crucial. The same cheerleaders who wanted war were again calling for another war. Thankfully, voices even on the Conservative Community (including Glenn Beck) are saying enough is enough. There is a bigger challenge, though: What to do now. It was frankly shocking to see the latest BBC dispatch about the fact that the Iraqi Air Force ran out of hellfire Missiles two weeks ago. What about all the Billions that was spent? What is absolutely clear is that no one seems to know the answer. There are reports that Irbil--one of the key cities in the Kurdish Region--is also under threat. As the Shias were mobilizing and parading in Baghdad, there were increasing calls to replace Maliki. What was laughable was reports about who would replace him, though: Ahmad Chalabi or Ilay Alawi. In the meantime, as the bombings and killings continue, the ordinary man and woman is forgotten as refugees continue to flee in their thousands.

Excepts  released to http://www.outsiderviews.com, June 2014

6/17/2014

On This Day: A "Brief View of the Week".....

It has been a challenging few days. around the World as Iraq implodes.    Although not easy, there is no other choice but to remain optimsitic.   Everyday is a new opportunity to begin anew.    This was so timely from Ralph Martson: 

Today, life will give you the opportunity to be honest. Take that opportunity, and keep yourself aligned with the power of truth.
Today, life will give you the opportunity to be compassionate. Take that opportunity, and feel the priceless satisfaction that comes from making a difference in the lives of others.
Today, life will give you the opportunity to act with discipline and focus. Take that opportunity, and enjoy the fruits of being highly effective in whatever you do.
Your life today will give you the opportunity to learn, to achieve, to enjoy, to reflect, to share, to listen, to understand and to love. Embrace each opportunity that comes your way with gratitude, enthusiasm and a sense of positive purpose.
On this day, life will give you the opportunity to be your best, to live and to act true to the unique and beautiful person you know you are. Take that opportunity, and run with it.
If you’ve been wishing and waiting for a perfect opportunity, it is here and now. This day will be what you make of it, and there’s no opportunity better than that.

It was also even more so to not forget this admonition from the ever so inspiring Mary Tyler Moore:

Take chances, make mistakes. That's how you grow. Pain nourishes your courage. You have to fail in order to practice being brave.     

Enough Said....May we all be blessed with the beauty and the majesty of life.

6/15/2014

On This Father's Day 2014: Being Happy & Engaging Ever More....


Today is Father's Day in the United States.    I count my blessings every day and wish all a sense of happiness and joy that is beyond this World as I am blessed to observe my Son as he grows up.   It is not as easy as one may hope as I see the reporting on Iraq and the brutality by ISIS or what is happening in Pakistan as The Pakistan Army began a new offensive after the bold attack on Karachi.   Gandhi Ji reminded us to be the change we wish to see in the World---it begins here with a sense of happiness because it begins with us:  




May it be so on this Father's Day for all while remebering to count blessings every day and noting: