2/20/2016

Notations On Our World (Special weekend Edition): An #Outsider Newsflash On the Virtual Prowl in Nevada

Hillary Clinton has won the Nevada Caucuses.     Her rapid response team immediately sent out a fundraising request with this:


Senator Sanders gave Mrs. Clinton a run for her money--no question about it.   Here is a breakdown based on the latest from the Associated Press as reported by the Washington Post:

  • Leader
  • Winner
  • Updates
  • Population
Carson CityLas VegasElkoCarson CityLas VegasElko
CANDIDATEVOTES%DEL
Candidate illustration
Clinton
4,90252.2%18
Candidate illustration
Sanders
4,47747.7%14
Candidate illustration
Uncommitted
60.1%0

Notations On Our World (weekend edition): On the United States As America honors Justice Scalia (Updated w/His Funeral Mass)

On this #Outsider weekend, our team is keeping an eye on South Carolina and Nevada as the Democrats and Republicans cast ballots in the ongoing primary contests.   This is as Justice Scalia is being laid to rest today.    We received this from the Office of the House Speaker:


Paul Ryan - Speaker of the House
A great patriot and public servant will be laid to rest today. In honor of Antonin Scalia, flags above the U.S. Capitol will continue to fly at half-staff until sunset. 
Justice Scalia did more than anyone in our time to honor and preserve the work of our Founders. His passing is a terrible loss for all of us, but his work—always grounded in plain language and constitutional principles—will guide generations to come. 
As we move forward together as a nation, we must consider our responsibilities under the Constitution.
The Supreme Court is not an extension of the White House. Not only does Congress have the authority to stop a nominee, it has a constitutional obligation to defend itself against a president and a radically altered court that would continue to seize its Article One powers.
We will fulfill this obligation to the people we serve.
Speaker Ryan

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2/19/2016

The Friday Musical Interlude: @twentyonepilots w/their hit: Stressed Out

It is Friday here in the #Outsider network and time yet again for the Friday Musical Interlude.   We hope all enjoy our Artist of the Week, @twentyonepilots,  and the selections we have chosen from them.

We hope all enjoy as we wish all a fantastic Friday and a fabulous weekend. 



2/18/2016

Notations On Our World: On the US Campaign Trail

The countdown to the South Carolina Primary is continuing as the campaigns have been on the prowl.  South Carolina and Nevada will further "sort it all out" although the top tier candidates (which we view as Trump, Cruz and Rubio on the Republican side) will continue to fight it out.      The Holy Father got into the discussions with his views on the proposed wall by Donald Trump by noting that his proposal to build a wall was unchristian--and Mr. Trump noted how the comments were disgraceful.  

As we await the results this weekend, we were startled as we saw this as reported by the Resurgents' Erick Erickson earlier today--how this in fact is true or note remains to be seen: 

Bush Campaign Sources: Campaign Out of Money.  Pay Ends Saturday.
Bush Campaign Sources: Campaign Out of Money. Pay Ends Saturday.
By Erick Erickson | Thursday, February 18, 2016
This is pretty remarkable. Sources close to the Bush campaign are beginning to leak about a call last night. I’m told the Bush
Read More...


&   this from the Washington Examiner:


Cruz takes the lead in new national poll of GOP race

Cruz takes the lead in new national poll of GOP race

"The sound you're hearing is the sound of screams coming from Washington, D.C.," Republican presidential candidate Ted Cruz told a crowd in Spartanburg, South Carolina Wednesday. He was discussing the results of a new Wall Street Journal/NBC poll that showed him leading Donald Trump and Marco Rubio nationally. "What's happening nationally is indicative of the stakes in this race."





((Update:  As we went to press, we saw this very interesting comment from the Jewish Forward that is quite telling in terms of the silence of Sheldon Adelson:

 
NEWS
Nathan Guttman    
The casino mogul is keeping his cards close to his vest as Donald Trump dominates the Republican primary field. Will his commitment and cash come too late to make a difference?

Notations From the Grid: On #Iran & Cyrus The Great.....

In our own research on Iran, we ran across this brief retrospective on Cyrus the Great which we are pleased to present in its' entirety for this edition of "Notations From the Grid":


Mausoleum of Cyrus: view from the south; Ernst Herzfeld; Iran, 1905–28; cyanotype from glass plate negative; Ernst Herzfeld Papers, FSA A.6 04.GN.1543p



ANCIENT NEAR EAST

Heart of an Empire: Herzfeld’s Discovery of Pasargadae

Mausoleum of Cyrus: view from the south; Ernst Herzfeld; Iran, 1905–28; cyanotype from glass plate negative; Ernst Herzfeld Papers, FSA A.6 04.GN.1543p
Mausoleum of Cyrus: view from the south; Ernst Herzfeld; Iran, 1905–28; cyanotype from glass plate negative; Ernst Herzfeld Papers, FSA A.6 04.GN.1543p
“I am Cyrus, son of Cambyses, who founded the Persian Empire and was King of Asia. Grudge me not this monument.”
According to the Greek historian Strabo (circa 64 BCE–21 CE), these words were inscribed on the tomb of Cyrus the Great, founder of the Achaemenid Empire of Iran (reigned 550–530 BCE). Before his untimely death, Cyrus laid the foundation of the ancient world’s first empire in his birthplace, Anshan (Parsa), in southwestern Iran. He had overthrown the Medes, a kingdom in northwestern Iran, and had captured Sardis, the capital of the Lydian kingdom in Anatolia. In 539 BCE, Cyrus conquered Babylon and allowed the Jewish community to return to Jerusalem and rebuild the second temple. At the same time, he chose Pasargadae as the heart of his multilingual, multifaith empire and transformed it into a magnificent symbol of Achaemenid power. The site also became Cyrus’s final resting-place.
Located in the fertile plain known as the dasht-i murghab, or “plain of the water bird,” Pasargadae comprised palaces, gardens, pavilions, and a number of structures with not-yet-identified functions. Although several classical Greek authors mention Pasargadae, the site gradually fell into neglect after the fall of the Achaemenid Empire in 330 CE and was largely forgotten in favor of nearby Persepolis, built by Darius I (522–486 BCE). In the early thirteenth century, materials from the palace grounds were used to transform Cyrus’s mausoleum into a mosque. Western travelers to the site after the fifteenth century referred to the structure as a woman’s burial place using its local designation, “Tomb of the Mother of Solomon.” Although some scholars suggested the tomb might be Cyrus’s, it was not until 1908 that the German archaeologist Ernst Herzfeld (1879–1948) devoted his dissertation to Pasargadae and proved conclusively that it was the royal capital of the Achaemenid Empire.
Heart of an Empire focuses on Herzfeld’s discovery of Pasargadae and explores his meticulous work to restore the site’s historical and archaeological importance. See it tomorrow when it debuts in the Freer|Sackler (A wonderful article was also published on the Smithosian which is available by clicking here...) 

2/17/2016

Notations From the Grid: An #Outsider newsflash while on the "Virtual Beat" w/US Camnpaign

As we have been assessing the state of the campaign today, we found it of interest that a new National Poll finds Senator Cruz ahead of Donald Trump in a new National Poll--what is clear is that there is no "clear leader" so far with the remaining candidates.

What we found interesting was that  Senator Rubio has secured the endorsement of the Governor of South Carolina, Nikki Haley.   Senator Rubio has already had endorsements from Senator Tim Scott and Congressman Gowdy as well.  Whether that is helpful to him as the Primary looms remains to be seen. 

It is fascinating to be witness to it all...




2/16/2016

Notations On Our World: ON @POTUS & Other Thoughts

As we are going to press,  President Obama is holding a news conference on the aftermath of the US-Asean summit he hosted in our home state of California at Rancho Mirage.   

The President was  reflecting upon the state of the Republican Primary and how he laments how the GOP candidates is denying climate change.  He is also underscoring how the World is sceptical about the rhetoric.     He's noting that Donald Trump will not President because it is not a reality show--he is implicitly noting the fact that you have to know your facts.   He reflected upon his view and belief of the faith of the American People. 

Beyond the Shores of the United States, we received reports of the former President of France, Nicholas Sarkozy, has been placed under investigation for campaign finance violations.   We will continue to assess this as Mr. Sarkozy plots a comeback strategy in France.


Notations From the Grid: An Another Interesting & Challenging Day On the Virtual Beat on the US Presidential Campaign

As we have been assessing our World today, we have been witness to a very heated debate on the US Presidential Campaign.      What we got from the Washington Post captured it all--and this is as Donald Trump this morning was feeding another interesting conspiracy theory on Justice Scalia's Death by noting the unusual circumstances behind his death.     This is as we reviewed reports this morning that he had a history of heart problems and was deemed too weak to have surgery for a shoulder injury recently.       We also seeing reports that there are questions about the Trump ground game in South Carolina as Jeb Bush (who deployed his Brother the former President), Marco Rubio (who has been on an aggressive fundraising effort) and Ted Cruz seem to have a superior ground game.   The problem with this is that Trump has confounded the sceptics before.

Here is the Washington Post Snapshot that works to capture all sides:

The Daily Trail
v v
In which Donald Trump threatens to sue, again
He had a day. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke)
He had a day. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke)
How does a presidential candidate follow up the weekend when he renewed his party's "existential crisis"?
If you're Donald Trump, you begin the day with a tweetstorm that accuses Jeb Bush of leaning on his "mommy" and brother, andsay he and Ted Cruz aren't electable -- again throwing in, as an aside, that Cruz might not even be eligible to run for president at all. That's before most people have had their breakfast.
To top off the morning, you imply that former President George W. Bush, campaigning for his brother in South Carolina today, may be sorry he ever stepped back into the political spotlight.
You hold an event where you go nuclear on Ted Cruz,warning your audience that Cruz is a "liar" and "nuts." You threaten legal action against the Texas senator. And you hint at a third-party run if the GOP doesn't intervene on your behalf and somehow get rid of Cruz spots like "Supreme Trust" (below), one of a pair of new attack ads today hitting Trump on abortion. (VIDEO)
Supreme Trust | Ted Cruz TV Ad
Then you release a lengthy statement making both threats even more explicit. That statement starts out this way:
Ted Cruz is a totally unstable individual. He is the single biggest liar I’ve ever come across, in politics or otherwise, and I have seen some of the best of them. 
and closes with a section that begins like this:
One of the ways I can fight back is to bring a lawsuit against him relative to the fact that he was born in Canada and therefore cannot be President. If he doesn’t take down his false ads and retract his lies, I will do so immediately. Additionally, the RNC should intervene and if they don’t they are in default of their pledge to me.
That would be the pledge Donald Trump signed last summer ruling out a third-party run -- with an asterisk the size of South Carolina: he would abide by that agreement... as long as he felt he'd been treated fairly by the Republican Party. 
All that was a lot to fit in by lunchtime; afterwards, many candidates might have been tempted to call it a day. Then again, most candidates would not have hinted that they might abandon their party four days before its first Southern primary. Donald Trump is not most candidates.
So instead, he held a freewheeling press conference that began with these words: "We're going to have a little fun."
At this point in the campaign, if you are a Republican official, that line from the party's presidential front-runner is enough to bring on a cold sweat and an eye twitch.
After a chaotic weekend debate, all eyes were back on Trump today. (AP Photo/Rainier Ehrhardt)
After a chaotic weekend debate, all eyes were back on Trump today. (AP Photo/Rainier Ehrhardt)
What was important about this afternoon wasn't so much what was said at the press conference (when Trump called Cruz “a very unstable guy” and urging reporters to question the senator’s Christianity: “I have never seen anybody that lied as much as Ted Cruz. He goes around saying he’s a Christian. I don’t know. You’re going to have to really study that.”)
It's what wasn't said -- or at least, what got drowned out by Trump's holiday moves: everything else. The rest of the field was once again pushed to the sidelines. The two senators in the race -- Cruz and Marco Rubio -- had a chance to grab the spotlight, with Senate Republicans on the front lines of the fight to deny President Obama the chance to fill a Supreme Court seat. They didn't.
Not thrilled. (AP Photo/John Bazemore)
Not thrilled. (AP Photo/John Bazemore)
Cruz did get in a few hits of his own today: He unleashed those new anti-Trump ads. He called Trump's sister Maryanne Trump Barry, a judge, a "radical pro-abortion extremist." But if an attack falls in the news cycle and no one hears it, did it really happen?
Today was Monday. For the Republican Party, a weekend probably never felt quite so far away.
Back in the spotlight. REUTERS/Rainier Ehrhardt
Back in the spotlight. REUTERS/Rainier Ehrhardt
  • Chris Cillizza thinks Senate Republicans made a big mistake on the Scalia Supreme Court opening: "Refusing to even take part in the process — even though that process could have easily yielded the GOP’s desired result — hands Obama and Senate Democrats a political cudgel to bash the GOP. It’s an unforced error by Senate Republicans that will be difficult to mop up. And one that could cost them at the ballot box in November. 
  • More weekend fallout from that time Donald Trump scratched at old GOP wounds on live television by pushing a debate over the Bush doctrine, and essentially forcing his GOP rivals to rally around it
  • A reminder that Trump's claim that he "predicted Osama bin Laden" previously drew four Pinnochios.
  • Rep. Jeff Duncan (R-S.C.) called Trump a "truther" for his criticism of former President Bush's record on fighting terrorism, and on Iraq. At his press conference today, Trump doubled down on his critique of the argument that "President Bush kept us safe after 9/11": That was like saying the opposing team "scored 19 runs in the first inning, but after that we played pretty well," he said.
  • South Carolina has traditionally come through for the Bushes -- but nationally, there's some data to suggest Trump's critique of the 43rd president may not cost him as much as some of his opponents might assume: Republicans like George W. Bush. They don’t love him
Hitting South Carolina mailboxes:
And then there's this (from Ted Cruz's senior communications adviser)
Will Clinton's firewall hold? (Alex Holt for The Washington Post)
Will Clinton's firewall hold? (Alex Holt for The Washington Post)

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HILLARY CLINTON'S WESTERN FIREWALL may be showingsome cracks, report David Weigel and John Wagner:

Until quite recently, Clinton's campaign saw Nevada as a chance for a face-saving victory after a long-expected defeat in New Hampshire. But that defeat turned into a trouncing, and now, the Sanders campaign is trying to prove that she can be beaten anywhere. Nevada, where he is facing off against organized labor leaders and a Latino-heavy electorate, has become the first test.
Clinton's hopes rested on her overwhelming advantage among voters of color - part of a "firewall" her aides have claimed in many states that follow overwhelmingly white Iowa and New Hampshire on the electoral calendar. Sanders, however, is betting that his appeal among young and working-class voters, revealed so dramatically in New Hampshire, is now strong enough to transcend race.
Nevada is a chance to disprove "this firewall fantasy that the Clinton campaign has put out there," said Jeff Weaver, Sanders's campaign manager. "If we do well, it destroys that myth."
Twelve Sanders campaign offices have mushroomed across the state, say Weigel and Wagner, and the Vermont senator is outspending Clinton in TV ads by roughly two to one, according to the Las Vegas Review-Journal. "Those ads, which began in November, now feature the Latina politician Lucy Flores explaining why only Sanders can fix the country. More than a hundred paid staffers have hit the ground, aided by Latino pro-Sanders groups from as far away as Los Angeles. On Sunday, Sanders even wound up in the same black Las Vegas church as Clinton, sitting at the opposite end of the first pew."
"...Clinton's performance in Nevada's 2008 caucuses taught her campaign two crucial lessons heading into this year's race.Her win of the popular vote revealed an advantage against Barack Obama among Latinos and Las Vegas union workers - an advantage that they anticipated would grow even stronger against Sanders. And her loss of the delegate count, despite the popular win, revealed an organizational weakness and strategic shortcoming that her aides vowed to correct this time around." (And they know the problem firsthand: Robby Mook, who ran her Nevada effort in 2008, is now her campaign manager.)
The Sanders team says they have numbers suggesting that both young and working-class Latinos are warming to Sanders.The Clinton team's latest bid to downplay expectations was the claim that Nevada -- a state where, in 2008, less than 70 percent of Democratic caucus-goers were white -- is now "a state that is 80 percent white voters," which looked a lot like a pre-emptive bid to undercut the idea that a strong showing by Sanders might indicate he was making inroads with voting blocs beyond his progressive white base.
That talking point drew immediate pushback from reporters -- and even Clinton herself. "Well, you know, that's not me," she said, when Jon Ralston asked her about the claim. (VIDEO)
ClintonTease
Two more stories today highlight the idea that the Sanders generational advantage could be nearly as much of a factor as Clinton's current edge among non-white voters: Buzzfeed reports that black lawmakers and their staffers are spliitting over Sanders. So is the family of Eric Garner, the Staten Island man killed by police in 2014; his mother is planning to campaign for Hillary Clinton. His daughter, for Bernie Sanders.
Another Nevada headache for Clinton: She's now getting hit on immigration from both the left and the right. The new Spanish-language ad "Hillary's Wall" uses Bush-era clips of Hillary Clinton saying she opposed "illegal immigration" and voted for a border fence -- then starts quick-cutting between footage of Clinton and Donald Trump.
The spot, funded by the conservative American Crossroads, launched over the weekend. It's just a small buy -- mid-five figures. For now.
American Crossroads: "Hillary's Wall"
ABOUT THE OTHER CLINTON...
Sometimes he says things. (Alex Holt for The Washington Post)
Sometimes he says things. (Alex Holt for The Washington Post)
Still another Clinton headache will be with her long after Nevada: Bill Clinton keeps going rogue on the campaign trail,reports Abby D. Phillip.
In his post-White House years, Clinton has become a coveted Democratic surrogate. But when it comes to his wife’s campaigns, something else can happen: He seems to lose it. It was true in this crucial nominating state in 2008, where Hillary Clinton lost badly to Barack Obama. And it’s been true this month, when the former president has reemerged as a potent but unpredictable advocate who sometimes helps his wife’s cause — and sometimes doesn’t.