The post-mortems on the US Midterm Elections are in. We here @ The Daily Outsider have been assessing the post-mortems starting right at the elections thru today to assess it all.
Some brief takeaways are noted below:
- The Poll-Industrial Complex needs to have a radical rethink of how it approaches its' work in predicting results.
- The Media needs to go back to old fashioned fact checking and truly having a ground game to understand and debunk the pronouncements from all sides. It should not be only left to the Daily Show with Jon Stewart to work to debunk the outlandish statements from all sides.
- Leadership & messaging matters. The Democrats failed on both counts--including the President.
- The after effects of the disastrous Citizens United Decision continues to be felt--which according to the Washington Post was some $ 3.7 Billion Dollars.
- The GOP truly stepped up its' game and executed on its' ground strategy to maximum effect.
It has been touching to see commitment to work together as the President, The Speaker and the incoming US Senate Majority Leader. It was interesting how they chose the Wall Street Journal to publish their editorial on their commitment to work together while also warning the President on potential unilateral action the President might take. They say they want to get Congress moving again--but both the US Senate and the US House have a committed band of firebrands who believe that Government is the real problem--although the commitment by Senator McConnell that there will be no Government shutdown nor a default in the National Debt should serve as some reassurance to the World. Kansas was the surprise as a Governor whose policies have led the State to near bankruptcy and a Senator who does not even own a home in the State were resoundingly re-elected despite all the so-called polls by the Poll Industrial Complex. It was the case nationwide. California was an exception--even though even in California The GOP was able to take a number of legislative seats to deny the Democrats the 2/3 majority.
A sampling of the "post-mortem" is noted below Starting with analysis by the Washington Post:
|Chris Cillizza (@TheFix)|
& the View as noted the Washington's Post "WonkBlog"--Ezra Klein's Old Stumping Ground before he went on to Vox.Com:
No one was quite prepared for just how convincingly Republican candidates' would trounce their opponents in Tuesday's midterm. In races across the country, Republicans won where the polls showed them ahead, and even in a few places where the polls didn't.
None of these surprises are more significant than Gov. Sam Brownback's reelection in Kansas. Sam Wang at the Princeton Election Consortium confidently predicted he would lose. At Five Thirty Eight, Harry Enten had given Brownback an 18 percent chance of victory. In the end, it wasn't even that close: Brownback won even 50 percent of the vote to Democrat Paul Davis's 46.1 percent.
Predictions are sometimes wrong, of course -- that, in itself, shouldn't be too surprising. What makes Kansas an interesting case is that Brownback implemented and campaigned on an aggressively conservative economic policy, a series of supply-side reductions in taxes that have created an expanding budget deficit. These tax cuts lead Kansans to close classrooms, fire teachers, increase class sizes and raise local property levies. Hundreds of Republicans, worried about the state's financial stability, turned against him, but he won without their support.
The Democratic Governors Association's Spin is noted below:
|The Prospect (@theprospect)|
Erik Erickson, though, was very very very happy as he noted his take on what happened On November 4 while being quite harsh yet amusing to read: